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>Kalshi vs Scale AI

Kalshi AI Company Profile & RankingsScale AI AI Company Profile & Rankings

AI Activity Comparison

Kalshi

Kalshi is a federally regulated prediction market platform that allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events. The company operates as an exchange where contracts are bought and sold, with final prices settling at either $0 or $1 depending on whether the event occurs. Kalshi's markets are designed to aggregate crowd-sourced information to forecast probabilities for events in politics, economics, and current affairs. The platform has been noted for its accurate predictions, including a reported perfect record in forecasting U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. It is currently ranked among the top companies in the artificial intelligence sector and has been the subject of recent analysis regarding arbitrage opportunities with other prediction markets.

Scale AI

Scale AI, Inc. is a San Francisco-based company that provides data annotation, data labeling, and model evaluation services for the development of artificial intelligence applications. Its offerings include software and infrastructure to support AI development, primarily for computer vision and large language models (LLMs). The company operates a research division, the Safety, Evaluation and Alignment Lab, which focuses on evaluating and aligning LLMs. Scale AI's commercial clients have included Google, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI, and General Motors. The company also engages in contracts with governments, including the United States for military projects. It was founded in 2016 by Alexandr Wang and Lucy Guo and is backed by investors including Index Ventures and Tiger Global Management.

Data updated: • Live

Based on 11 events tracked for Kalshi over the past 30 days (5 in the past 7 days), updated in near real-time.

Kalshi versus Scale AI: Live 2026 Comparison

Kalshi and Scale AI are neck-and-neck in the AI rankings, separated by just 5 positions. Kalshi ships faster (5 events/week), while Scale AI has stronger community approval (22% positive). This comparison draws on 9 tracked events from the past 7 days — including product launches, research papers, and community discussions — scored through our 5-dimension scoring methodology. Our Hype Gap analysis shows Scale AI has more authentic positioning (gap: -0.9) compared to Kalshi (0.2). Data refreshes every 5 minutes. Compare other AI companies →

Kalshi vs Scale AI: Key Signals

Activity:Kalshi 5 events/wk vs Scale AI 4
Sentiment:Scale AI 22% vs Kalshi 3%
Rank gap:#89 vs #94 (5 positions apart)
Hype gap:Kalshi +0.2 vs Scale AI -0.9
Score:Kalshi 12 vs Scale AI 12

Data refreshes every 5 minutes. Compare other companies →

Kalshi vs Scale AI: Head-to-Head

Comparison of key metrics between Kalshi and Scale AI
MetricKalshiScale AI
Rank#89#94
Overall Score12.011.5
7-Day Events54
30-Day Events116
Sentiment3%22%
Momentum
7d vs 30d velocity
+86%0%
Hype Score2.76.9
Reality Score2.57.8
Hype Gap+0.2-0.9

📊 Visual Comparison

Compare 5 key metrics on a 0-100 scale. Larger area = stronger overall performance.

Kalshi
Scale AI
Activity
3vs2
Sentiment
3vs22
Score
12vs12
Momentum
50vs50
Confidence
0vs0

Metric Definitions:

Activity: Weekly GitHub events (max 200 = 100)
Sentiment: Community sentiment (0-100)
Score: Overall ranking score
Momentum: Rank movement trend (50 = neutral)
Confidence: Data confidence level (0-100)

What Separates Kalshi from Scale AI

Who Ships Faster: Kalshi or Scale AI?

Kalshi logged 5 events this week vs Scale AI's 4 — a 1.3x difference in product launches, research papers, and code commits. Over the past 30 days, the gap is 1.8x (11 vs 6), suggesting this pace is consistent.

What Users Think of Scale AI vs Kalshi

Scale AI has 22% positive sentiment vs Kalshi's 3%. That 19-point gap is significant — it signals stronger user satisfaction and fewer community complaints about Scale AI.

Does Scale AI Deliver on Its Promises?

Scale AI's hype gap of -0.9 vs Kalshi's 0.2 means Scale AI delivers on its promises — marketing claims closely match actual capabilities.

Where Kalshi and Scale AI Rank

Kalshi at #89 outranks Scale AI at #94 among 2,800+ AI companies. With 5 ranks between them, they compete for similar market segments.

Kalshi vs Scale AI: Momentum Trend

Kalshi is accelerating (86% velocity growth) while Scale AI is flat — a diverging trend worth watching.

About Kalshi and Scale AI

Kalshi

Rank
#89
Score
12.0
Website
dev.to

Scale AI

Headquarters
San Francisco, CA
Rank
#94
Score
11.5
Website
scale.com

Latest Signals: Kalshi vs Scale AI

Latest tracked events for each company — product launches, research papers, community discussions, and more.

Kalshi(5 events this week)

  • The House

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • The Conviction

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • The Indictment

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • The Injunction

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara

    Hacker News Newest
View all Kalshi signals →

Scale AI(4 events this week)

  • Scale AI launches Voice Showdown, the first real-world benchmark for voice AI - and the results are humbling for some top models

    Hacker News Newest
  • AI Agents Fail 97.5% of Real Jobs: What 3 New Studies Reveal About Agent Reliability

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • Scale AI Launches 'Voice Showdown' To Rival OpenAI, xAI, Anthropic In Voice AI Models - Benzinga

    Google News - AI General
  • Clarifying Scale AI's ML Research Engineer Coding Interview Structure for Effective Preparation

    Dev.to Machine Learning Tag
  • A benchmark of expert-level academic questions to assess AI capabilities - Nature

    Hacker News Newest
View all Scale AI signals →

Analysis: Kalshi vs Scale AI

Kalshi currently holds the edge at #89, 5 positions ahead of Scale AI (#94), though the gap remains contestable.

Kalshi is gaining momentum (86% velocity increase) while Scale AI is holding steady, creating a potential ranking shift ahead.

Community sentiment diverges sharply: Scale AI at 22% positive vs Kalshi's 3%. Scale AI maintains more authentic positioning with a hype gap of -0.9, compared to Kalshi's 0.2 — a key signal for evaluating long-term reliability.

Watch for: Kalshi's latest signal ("The House") and Scale AI's ("Scale AI launches Voice Showdown, the first real-world bench...") could shift this matchup.

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Why Compare Kalshi vs Scale AI?

Direct Competitors

Kalshi leads at #89 while Scale AI is closing in at #94. With 5 ranks separating them, they're competing for similar market segments and developer mindshare.

Who Compares Kalshi and Scale AI

Tech Decision Makers

Evaluating which platform offers better ROI and developer experience for enterprise adoption.

"Choose Kalshi for proven scale, or Scale AI for potential agility advantage."

Developers & Builders

Choosing AI tools and platforms based on community sentiment, documentation quality, and ecosystem.

"Consider community feedback and integration ecosystem when making your choice."

Key Differences Between Kalshi and Scale AI

  • **Community Perception**: Scale AI has notably stronger positive sentiment (19% higher).

Choosing Between Kalshi and Scale AI

Consider Kalshi if you value:

  • • Proven market leadership (#89)
  • • Higher development activity

Consider Scale AI if you value:

  • • Stronger community sentiment
  • • Higher substance-to-hype ratio

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