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>Kalshi vs Raycast

Kalshi AI Company Profile & RankingsRaycast AI Company Profile & Rankings

AI Activity Comparison

Kalshi

Kalshi is a federally regulated prediction market platform that allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events. The company operates as an exchange where contracts are bought and sold, with final prices settling at either $0 or $1 depending on whether the event occurs. Kalshi's markets are designed to aggregate crowd-sourced information to forecast probabilities for events in politics, economics, and current affairs. The platform has been noted for its accurate predictions, including a reported perfect record in forecasting U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. It is currently ranked among the top companies in the artificial intelligence sector and has been the subject of recent analysis regarding arbitrage opportunities with other prediction markets.

Raycast

Raycast is an application launcher and productivity software developed by Raycast Technologies Ltd. for macOS and Windows. It functions as an alternative to native system search tools, providing users with rapid access to applications, files, and utilities like a dictionary and clipboard manager through a keyboard-activated interface. The platform is distinguished by its extensibility, offering a store for open-source extensions that developers can create using its public API to add custom functionality. As of November 2025, its Windows version entered a public beta phase. The company is ranked within the AI industry sector.

Data updated: • Live

Based on 11 events tracked for Kalshi over the past 30 days, updated in near real-time.

Kalshi versus Raycast: Live 2026 Comparison

Based on real-time data, Raycast outperforms Kalshi across both activity (2 vs 0 events this week) and community sentiment (57% vs 3%). This comparison draws on 2 tracked events from the past 7 days — including product launches, research papers, and community discussions — scored through our 5-dimension scoring methodology. Our Hype Gap analysis shows Raycast has more authentic positioning (gap: -3.3) compared to Kalshi (0.2). Data refreshes every 5 minutes. Compare other AI companies →

Kalshi vs Raycast: Key Signals

Activity:Raycast 2 events/wk vs Kalshi 0
Sentiment:Raycast 57% vs Kalshi 3%
Rank gap:#91 vs #108 (17 positions apart)
Hype gap:Kalshi +0.2 vs Raycast -3.3
Score:Kalshi 12 vs Raycast 9

Data refreshes every 5 minutes. Compare other companies →

Kalshi vs Raycast: Head-to-Head

Comparison of key metrics between Kalshi and Raycast
MetricKalshiRaycast
Rank#91#108
Overall Score12.09.4
7-Day Events02
30-Day Events114
Sentiment3%57%
Momentum
7d vs 30d velocity
+86%0%
Hype Score2.77.0
Reality Score2.510.3
Hype Gap+0.2-3.3

📊 Visual Comparison

Compare 5 key metrics on a 0-100 scale. Larger area = stronger overall performance.

Kalshi
Raycast
Activity
0vs1
Sentiment
3vs57
Score
12vs9
Momentum
50vs50
Confidence
0vs0

Metric Definitions:

Activity: Weekly GitHub events (max 200 = 100)
Sentiment: Community sentiment (0-100)
Score: Overall ranking score
Momentum: Rank movement trend (50 = neutral)
Confidence: Data confidence level (0-100)

What Separates Kalshi from Raycast

Who Ships Faster: Raycast or Kalshi?

Raycast logged 2 events this week vs Kalshi's 0 — a significant difference in product launches, research papers, and code commits. Over the past 30 days, the gap is 0.4x (4 vs 11), suggesting this pace is consistent.

What Users Think of Raycast vs Kalshi

Raycast has 57% positive sentiment vs Kalshi's 3%. That 55-point gap is significant — it signals stronger user satisfaction and fewer community complaints about Raycast.

Does Raycast Deliver on Its Promises?

Raycast's hype gap of -3.3 vs Kalshi's 0.2 means Raycast delivers on its promises — marketing claims closely match actual capabilities.

Where Kalshi and Raycast Rank

Kalshi at #91 outranks Raycast at #108 among 2,800+ AI companies. The 17-rank gap reflects different market tiers and adoption levels.

Kalshi vs Raycast: Momentum Trend

Kalshi is accelerating (86% velocity growth) while Raycast is flat — a diverging trend worth watching.

Latest Signals: Kalshi vs Raycast

Latest tracked events for each company — product launches, research papers, community discussions, and more.

Kalshi(0 events this week)

  • The House

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • The Conviction

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • The Indictment

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • The Injunction

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara

    Hacker News Newest
View all Kalshi signals →

Raycast(2 events this week)

  • 7 Mac Apps That Reduce Decision Fatigue for Developers in 2026

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • 7 Mac Apps for Developers Building AI Agents in 2026

    Dev.to AI Tag
  • Raycast’s Glaze is an all-in-one vibe coding app platform

    The Verge AI
  • GitHub Copilot for Raycast

    Hacker News Newest
  • Raycast for Windows Is Here

    Hacker News Front Page
View all Raycast signals →

Analysis: Kalshi vs Raycast

Kalshi (#91) leads Raycast (#108) by 17 ranks, reflecting a meaningful difference in overall market position and activity.

Kalshi is gaining momentum (86% velocity increase) while Raycast is holding steady, creating a potential ranking shift ahead.

Community sentiment diverges sharply: Raycast at 57% positive vs Kalshi's 3%. Raycast maintains more authentic positioning with a hype gap of -3.3, compared to Kalshi's 0.2 — a key signal for evaluating long-term reliability.

Watch for: Kalshi's latest signal ("The House") and Raycast's ("7 Mac Apps That Reduce Decision Fatigue for Developers in 20...") could shift this matchup.

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Why Compare Kalshi vs Raycast?

Leader vs Challenger

Kalshi (#91) has established market position, while Raycast (#108) is 17 ranks behind. This comparison shows the gap between market leaders and aspiring competitors.

Who Compares Kalshi and Raycast

Enterprise Buyers

Comparing market leader against emerging alternative to balance stability vs innovation.

"Kalshi for enterprise-grade reliability, Raycast for cutting-edge features."

Developers & Builders

Choosing AI tools and platforms based on community sentiment, documentation quality, and ecosystem.

"Consider community feedback and integration ecosystem when making your choice."

Key Differences Between Kalshi and Raycast

  • **Community Perception**: Raycast has notably stronger positive sentiment (55% higher).

Choosing Between Kalshi and Raycast

Consider Kalshi if you value:

  • • Proven market leadership (#91)

Consider Raycast if you value:

  • • Higher development activity
  • • Stronger community sentiment
  • • Higher substance-to-hype ratio

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